Climate Change: Failure and fraud

Nov. 27th, 2025 02:13 pm
[syndicated profile] norightturn_feed

Posted by Idiot/Savant

RNZ yesterday had a piece about the regime's consultation on amendments to the Second Emissions Reduction Plan 2026-30, which closed yesterday. The headline is that the regime has officially given up on its carbon capture and storage fantasy, admitting that it will never happen and adjusting its emissions projections accordingly. This was doing all the heavy lifting over the next two emissions budgets, and without it they're basicly left with nothing (because they repealed everything that actually worked then crashed the carbon price to ensure the ETS wouldn't do anything either. Heckuva job there, National. No wonder our trade partners are worried...)

The other big news is that they now predict that they will miss the legislated 2030 methane target of a 10% drop in biogenic methane emissions from 2017 levels, instead achieving only a 7.9% reduction. Why? Because while they talk a big game about "technology" (their discussion document even includes a table with development pathways and expected deployment dates for various options), having removed agriculture from the ETS and forsworn regulating anything farmers do they have no way to ensure it is used - meaning that, for practical purposes, it might as well not exist. More importantly, despite assuming significant reductions from these fantasy technologies,

Higher forecast stock numbers are driving an increase in total agricultural emissions across the EB2 period compared with the forecast in the 2024 projections. While expectations of more uptake of mitigation technology result in a greater relative decrease in agricultural emissions through the EB2 period, this is not enough to offset increased production. The overall result is a 4.8 Mt increase in emissions from agriculture across the EB2 period, compared with that projected in ERP2.
Or, to put it another way: they removed environmental restrictions on farmers and let them keep on polluting without having to even pay for it, so of course they are now planning to. Again, repealing all effective policy leads to a blowout. Who knew?

(So what happens if they miss the methane target? Well, nothing. We have a target in law, with an explicit clause saying that there is no efective remedy for failing to meet it. "Our" government can burn us all to death, and all they will face is a wagging finger, because states gonna state. Plus of course the people who fucked this up - National - simply don't expect to be in power when the failure is announced, and are probably looking forward to attacking the then-government from opposition for "their" failure...)

And yet despite all that, National still claims it is going to meet our 2025 and 2030 emissions budgets, the first by a substantial margin, the second by a whisker:

Nat-EB1-2-meet

Which looks great! Until you remember that those projections include significant methodological changes, and that last year He Pou a Rangi recommended lowering the budgets to account for them and ensure we were comparing like with like. While the government has not yet responded to this advice - I wonder why? - they are the numbers we should be using. The revised budgets are 283 MT for EB1 and 290 MT for EB2, and comparing National's projections with them shows they expect to meet EB1 by the merest whisker, and to miss EB2 by 10 million tons. As for EB3, the appendix shows they plan to be missing that by 18 MT.

If the regime refuses to adjust the emissions budgets as recommended, it will be able to claim a "surplus" of 7.8 MT, effectively by account fraud. It will then be able to bank that fraudulent surplus, and use it to cover up its failure in EB2. Which is pretty much how National "met" its Kyoto target as well: by fraud.

This is not something we should accept. We deserve honest carbon accounts just as we deserve honest financial ones. A regime which relies on fraud to claim to have achieved it targets is not just dishonest - it is criminal, and it should be treated as such.

The Good and the Could Be Better

Nov. 26th, 2025 07:03 pm
yourlibrarian: Tri part icon of Iron Man (AVEN-IronManTriptych-xafirah.png)
[personal profile] yourlibrarian
1) Some good news, NPR program revenue is way up, and much of it is coming from new donors. Also, John Oliver not only did his final 2025 episode about it which you can watch on YouTube but held an auction which, given how its bidding was going, is likely to raise about $1.25 million for them.

2) I can see why a lot of people enjoyed this (definitive) Fantastic 4 movie. Like many others I loved the set design, the 60s retro futurism, and the framing and pacing for it. It was not easy to build in those domestic and intimate character scenes within a movie that had a lot to get through.

Unfortunately though, the more I thought about the movie after, the more it fell apart. Read more... )

3) First posted on [community profile] tv_talk, I couldn't help comparing 2 shows that are forever tied together for me because of a friend, now gone from us, who I watched them with. ancing with the Stars which had its 20 year anniversary this month, has been on so long it had its own In Memoriam segment. (Charo and Wayne Newton though, in the audience, still with us). It was a great show, starting with an excellent opening number. Funnily enough, I turned to my partner and commented on how well choreographed it was, only to find out a minute later that it had been done by Derek Hough.

"He should choreograph everything," he said. There were a number of excellent dances, as well as a good effort by Andy Richter.

The best moment though, was at the start when we not only saw the original pros start the show (I can't believe there were no interviews or moments with them about their memories – guess that was all saved for the podcast) but Tom Bergeron was back. I am quite happy with Alfonso and Julieanne as co-hosts but I miss Tom.

And speaking of hosts, Project Runway has had a more checkered history for several reasons. Read more... )

In the meantime, there's a lot of joy on DwtS, perhaps best exemplified by this semi-final performance of Robert Irwin's:



4) I watched The Roses with Olivia Colman/Cumberbatch, which is a remake of War of the Roses but much more British. Near the end he builds this house by the sea, and I just wanted the movie to spend time showing all parts of it because it looked great! I recently saw pics of the Stahl House in L.A. which is up for sale, and am a sucker for those integrated-with-the-environment type buildings.

As to the movie Read more... )

5) What has always been known has now been proved about who's behind most of the MAGA shit stirring on X (and undoubtedly every other platform). The biggest irony of all is that so much of it isn't even political manipulation by foreign powers so much as international scammers getting paid for ruining the U.S. social sphere.

"Musk instituted an “engagement-based” payment structure that pays out money based on how many views, retweets, and comments you get. For people in lower income regions, trolling on politically sensitive topics in America to generate likes and clicks (especially now that they can use AI to do so) isn’t just easy—it’s an actual business model that Musk built into the platform."

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Nemesis Games

Nov. 26th, 2025 06:37 pm
tassosss: Shen Wei Zhao Yunlan Era (Default)
[personal profile] tassosss
I finished Nemesis Games today. It's book 5 in The Expanse and covers the start of the Free Navy arc. I went into it with a little trepidation, light spoilers for Nemesis Games )

30 in 30: ST:DS9

Nov. 26th, 2025 05:51 pm
senmut: Guinan propping face on hand (Star Trek: Guinan)
[personal profile] senmut
AO3 Link | Memories of Family (100 words) by Merfilly
Chapters: 1/1
Fandom: Star Trek: Deep Space Nine
Rating: General Audiences
Warnings: No Archive Warnings Apply
Characters: Miles O'Brien, Keiko O'Brien, Kira Nerys
Additional Tags: Drabble
Summary:

Miles walks in on a domestic moment






Nerys was slow-dancing to the music with Molly, while Keiko held Kirayoshi and rocked in time. The scene etched itself into Miles' heart as he came in. The moments like this were all too-soon coming to an end as his transfer to Earth was in the works.

At least Molly should keep solid memories of her other-mother, as they referred to Nerys. Video calls would help strengthen ties, he knew, but losing her as a part of their family was the hardest part for he and Keiko both.

Such sad musings were not for now. Kissing his family hello was.

No Beaver Moon

Nov. 26th, 2025 05:37 pm
yourlibrarian: Horario Under Hat look (HORN-HorarioUnderHat-timescout)
[personal profile] yourlibrarian posting in [community profile] common_nature


Was on the lookout the night it was supposed to appear, but there was a lot of cloud cover in the east, and I saw no moon at all that Thursday night.

However we did have a great sunset.

Read more... )
merricatb: Image of Rajan Rasal (Rajan1)
[personal profile] merricatb posting in [community profile] smallfandomfest
Title: The Barbarian
Author: MerricatB
Fandom: Sense8
Pairing/Characters: Rajan/Wolfgang/Kala
Rating/Category: Teen & Up
Prompt: Sense8, Writer's choice, Gifts
Spoilers: Whole series
Summary: Forbidden from doing the eccentric billionaire thing and buying Wolfgang a tiger, Rajan finds the next best gift to cheer him up.
Notes/Warnings: This fic is related to another one but can be read as a standalone.

Read on AO3

Where in the world is Catherine?

Nov. 26th, 2025 03:17 pm
catherineldf: (Default)
[personal profile] catherineldf
An endlessly valid question these days. I am not wearing a striped shirt (one has to have standards), but I have been a. Wrestling with Hell Cold for weeks now and b. Piling on all the events I can get into because no day job and c. Wrangling my data analytics class, Queen of Swords Press stuff, writing, job hunting and sundries.

Some things have begun to dawn on me, albeit quite slowly. I'm unbelievably burnt out. Objectively, I knew this, but I'm starting to reckon with the fact that 5 years of nonstop stress and 60-70 hours week have...dented me pretty badly. The last year of deranged boss and constant threat of being fired did not help either. Add to that my age, my cat who needs medical attention and feedings which require me to be at home (even if I wanted to go back to the cube farms) and the IT job market tanking and I'm starting to let go of it. I'm going to focus on ramping up the press, reviving my dormant editing business and seeing what kind of other WFH I can scare up here and there. Eventually, Social Security will have to be a thing, but even with Jana's added in, it won't be enough to live on and I'll have to work anyway.

On the jollier side, I'm writing again! I cranked out 1000 words of novel draft last night, the most I've written at one time in a while. I have 2 other projects in progress and am gradually getting some ideas for other things. I'm going to be pitching some talks and classes and articles as well and working on new story collections as well. I just reactivated my Professional Editors Network membership and will be rebuilding my profile in the next few days. I have a new small business mentor with the county and am meeting with her next week. I found a support group for unemployed older women and will meet with them next week.

And Queen of Swords Press has a terrific new gay vampire novel by M.Christian out and we'll be releasing an omnibus edition of the Astreiant Series by next month on 12/15! The Complete Astreiant by Melissa Scott and Lisa A. Barnett is up for preorder now (please buy direct from us if you can; Amazon is going to crush us on their percentage for this book). The Astreiant Series is also eligible for the Best Series Hugo this year, so please keep it in mind when you are nominating. Melissa Scott has never won a Hugo and I'd love to change that.

Queen of Swords Press is also WisCon's Vendor of the Month for November so if you buy a backlist title (not the preorder) from us using coupon code WisCon26 at checkout, you get a sale price and we'll donate $ to the con. The proverbial win/win!

I'm adding Jana's boxes and journals to the shop on Ko-fi, along with some of my own projects and offerings. Please feel free to boost if the shopping aspects won't work for you.

More bulletins soon! Have a great holiday if you're celebrating! I'm going to veg out with my kitties and do some writing and editing, before enjoying a good takeout meal from the co-op. I'm booked every waking moment Friday, Saturday and part of Sunday so please don't worry that I'm being left to weep alone into my cranberries. I'm deliberately choosing to have a day off. :-)

Links: Mostly Videos

Nov. 26th, 2025 07:00 pm
[syndicated profile] smartbitches_feed

Posted by Amanda

Workspace with computer, journal, books, coffee, and glasses.Welcome back, everyone!

For those celebrating, are we ready for Thanksgiving?

Pet death

Today, we’ve made the decision to let Linus go. Some of you may remember he was diagnosed with cancer in the summer. I’ve never been more thankful for carbs and I said to my partner that we should have known he would be as much of an asshole in death as he was in life. BECAUSE THIS IS A REALLY INCONVENIENT TIME, LINUS!

If you would like, please share any funny pet stories in the comments.

Apologies if posting a bunch of videos is a little “phoning it in” today.

If anyone is curious how my Romance TBR Takedown experiment is going. I’m two books down! I’ve also discovered that the “partner picks” prompt is a real monkey’s paw scenario.

This was sent in by Jen! Several publishers have been revealed to be using AI staff on their websites, which led to the exposure of an international publishing scam.

Sarah and I recently discussed 2026 trends and she predicts seeing an uptick in more AI nonsense in the book space.

What if it was hunting season at Swan Lake?

I recently found this YouTube channel of “found footage” from old VHS tapes. Not sure how real it is, but a girl can dream.

And if you want a feel good story, enjoy this interview with an archivist preserving NYC’s queer history.

Don’t forget to share what cool or interesting things you’ve seen, read, or listened to this week! And if you have anything you think we’d like to post on a future Wednesday Links, send it my way!

oursin: Photograph of small impressionistic metal figurine seated reading a book (Reader)
[personal profile] oursin

What I read

After Hours at Dooryard Books was really good - set in 1968 in a used bookstore in Greenwich Village - this was so not a Summer of Love - but lots of Unhistoric Acts - also I really liked that what I feared was going to be one of those three-quarter way through Exposure of Dark Thing/Arising of Unexpected Crisis in Relationship actually didn't go angst angst angst wo wo wo.

Slightly Foxed #88: 'Pure Magic': pretty good selection, though rather irked by the guy fanboying over Room at the Top and all he can say about the sexism side of things is that the protag's behaviour to women 'may be less than admirable but he is not a cad'. O RLY. What do you call putting the local rich guy's daughter in the club and then chucking your older woman mistress, who dies horribly in a car accident?

Robert Rodi, Fag Hag (1992) - of its period perhaps. I think there may be works of his I remember more fondly than this one? Don't really recommend.

Dick Francis, Hot Money (1987): this is one in which I was waiting for the narrator to get, as per usual for a DF protag, nastily done over, probably by one of his siblings or in-laws in this convoluted tale of seething envies within the family of a much-married tycoon. He did get blown up but that was not personal and so did his father. No actually woodsheds but there was a glasshouse and various other nooks and crannies to see something nasty in.

On the go

Back to Lanny Budd - O Shepherd, Speak! (#10) (1949) - Lanny as ever finds himself where it's happening in the final stages of WW2 - have got to the aftermath of the war, and thinking about peace. Quite a way to go.

Up next

No idea.

james_davis_nicoll: (Default)
[personal profile] james_davis_nicoll


The core rules plus essentials for the 2013 Fifth Edition of Shadowrun, the cyberpunk-fantasy tabletop roleplaying game from Catalyst Game Labs.

Bundle of Holding: SR5 Essentials (from 2019)



Eighteen setting sourcebooks for Shadowrun 5th Edition.

Bundle of Holding: SR5 Universe Mega

The Mighty Nein 1x04

Nov. 26th, 2025 02:00 pm
settiai: (Mighty Nein -- settiai)
[personal profile] settiai
Continuing on my previously posted thoughts about episode 1x03, I just finished watching episode 1x04.

Spoilers under the cut. )
rocky41_7: (Default)
[personal profile] rocky41_7

Last night I finished The Once and Future King by T.H. White, because I felt like it was time I made a real foray into the Arthurian legends. The actual first Arthurian book I read was The Mists of Avalon, but that was years ago and before I had heard the full story about Marion Zimmer Bradley. This book takes a decidedly different tone. I’m sticking to the most common name spellings for all of the characters here, because spellings do vary across all versions of these legends.

The first thing that surprised me about The Once and Future King is that it’s funny, and frequently in an absurd, dorky kind of way. Knights failing tilts because their visors fell over their eyes wrong, Merlin accidentally zapping himself away in the middle of a lesson because he was in a temper, the Questing Beast “falling in love” with two men dressed in a beast costume, that sort of thing. This silliness is largely concentrated in the first quarter of the book, which is about Arthur’s childhood, but it’s never fully lost.

The second surprise was how long the book focuses on Arthur’s childhood, but then again, it is setting the scene for Arthur’s worldview and the lessons he internalized as a child which shape his approach to being king.

Read more... )

Nonfiction

Nov. 26th, 2025 01:21 pm
rivkat: Dean reading (dean reading)
[personal profile] rivkat
Michael Grunwald, We Are Eating the Earth: The thing about land is that they aren’t making any more of it, and although you can make more farmland (for now) from forests, it’s not a good idea. This means that agriculture is hugely important to climate change, but most of the time proposals for, e.g., biofuels or organic farming don’t take into account the costs in farmland. The book explores various things that backfired because of that failed accounting and what might work in the future. Bonus: the audiobook is narrated by Kevin R. Free, the voice of Murderbot, who turns out to be substantially more expressive when condemning habitat destruction.

Tony Magistrale & Michael J. Blouin, King Noir: The Crime Fiction of Stephen King (feat. Stephen King and Charles Ardai): Treads the scholarly/popular line, as the inclusion of a chapter by King and a “dialogue” with Ardai suggest. The book explores King’s noir-ish work like Joyland, but also considers his horror protagonists as hardboiled detectives, trying to find out why bad things happen (and, in King’s own words, often finding the noirish answer “Because they can.”). I especially liked the reading of Wendy Torrance as a more successful detective than her husband Jack. Richard Bachman shows up as the dark side of King’s optimism (I would have given more attention to the short stories—they’re also mostly from the Bachman era and those often are quite bleak). And the conclusion interestingly explores the near-absence of the (living) big city and the femme fatale—two noir staples—from King’s work, part of a general refusal of fluidity.

Gerardo Con Diaz, Everyone Breaks These Laws: How Copyrights Made the Online World: This book is literally not for me because I live and breathe copyright law and it is a tour through the law of copyright & the internet that is aimed at an intelligent nonlawyer. Although I didn’t learn much, I appreciated lines like “Back then, all my porn was illegally obtained, and it definitely constituted copyright infringement.” The focus is on court cases and the arguments behind them, so the contributions of “user generated content” and, notably, fanworks to the ecosystem don’t get a mention.

Stephanie Burt, Taylor’s Version: The Poetic and Musical Genius of Taylor Swift: longer )

Kyla Sommers, When the Smoke Cleared: The 1968 Rebellions and the Unfinished Battle for Civil Rights in the Nation’s Capital: Extensive account of the lead-up to, experience of, and consequences of the 1968 riots after MLK Jr.’s assassination. There was some interesting stuff about Stokely Carmichael, who (reportedly) told people to go home during the riots because they didn’t have enough guns to win. (Later: “According to the FBI, Carmichael held up a gun and declared ‘tonight bring your gun, don’t loot, shoot.’ The Washington Post, however, reported Carmichael held up a gun and said, ‘Stay off the streets if you don’t have a gun because there’s going to be shooting.’”) Congress did not allow DC to control its own political fate, and that shaped how things happened, including the limited success of citizens’ attempts to direct development and get more control over the police, but ultimately DC was caught up in the larger right-wing backlash that was willing to invest in prisons but not in sustained economic opportunity. Reading it now, I was struct by the fact that—even without riots, fires, or other large-scale destruction—white people who don’t live in the area are still calling for military occupation because they don’t feel safe. So maybe the riots weren’t as causal as they are considered.

Wednesday reading

Nov. 26th, 2025 06:14 pm
queen_ypolita: Books stacked to form a spiral (Bookspiral by celticfire)
[personal profile] queen_ypolita
Finished since the last reading post
The Instrumentalist, which I liked very much, although the protagonist kept annoying me at times by being so blinkered in her ambition.

Currently reading
Not much progress with The Alignment Problem. Reading Death of a Scholar by Susanna Gregory and have less than 50 pages to go, and I still have no idea how it's going to play out at the end.

Reading next
I have another library book lined up, beyond that I'm not sure

Wednesday Reading Meme

Nov. 26th, 2025 12:54 pm
sineala: Detail of Harry Wilson Watrous, "Just a Couple of Girls" (Reading)
[personal profile] sineala
What I Just Finished Reading

Nothing. As you can tell, the past few weeks have really been Surprise Medical Problem Time, and while I have my brain back most of the time, I am not really having a lot of energy for sustained focus.

What I'm Reading Now

Comics Wednesday!

X-Vengers #2 )

What I'm Reading Next

I just started reading a f/f tennis rivals-to-lovers name-on-wrist soulmate romance novel because I guess this is just what Real Books are like now.

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